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Submitted on
October 25, 2012
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Outdated Future Earth 2150 by SamSquared Outdated Future Earth 2150 by SamSquared
Based on culminated predictions on how the world may look in 2150, with a population of 10 billion, sea level rise of 2m, temperature rise on average of 2 degrees Celsius. I admit the border changes are somewhat radical but had to make it interesting!

There is now an Updated Version!
Part of the early history of my science fiction universe See more of my work here!

Revolutions continue in the Middle East and North Africa. Slowly the world climbs out of recession and the global economy begins to grow once again. Severe weather events occur more often.

In the late 2020s another particularly severe economic downturn causes the EU to reform as the highly integrated NEU, including just France, Germany, Belgium, the Netherlands, Denmark, Norway, Sweden, Iceland and Finland. The UK is offered membership but declines, becoming increasingly self-sufficient. The Southern European states try to form a Mediterranean economic community in retaliation but it is fragile by comparison and never achieves a great degree of integration. For half the years of 2020 no international wars are fought, and the rate of death in war declines slightly from its all-time low in the 2010s.

Much of the Middle East's oil is exhausted - Russia experiences a rapid period of economic growth as the major provider of fossil fuels (as do other alternative countries such as Canada, Nigeria and Venezuela) expanding into the melting arctic and, increasingly, food as global warming opens up vast tracts of arable land in Siberia - in the most of the rest of the world it is drying up. As the world’s interest in the Middle East diminishes the region fades back into insignificance and destabilizes. Many countries in Northern and Central Africa destabilise, becoming failed states as a side effect of global warming. This is counterbalanced by the ground-hugging death rates in war everywhere else despite unpopular US led interventions in Nigeria, Venezuela and Colombia. A combined effort from numerous countries including China, Russia, India, Brazil, the NEU and the USA sends a manned mission to Mars using a VASMIR driven spacecraft.

Competition between the rising power of Russia and the new economic superpower of China results in the brief Sino-Russian War, one small tactical nuclear device is detonated at a military base on the Tibetan Plateau, another several kilometres outside Ulaan Bator during the Chinese occupation, but the war fizzles out after 4 years as the UN is able to mediate a truce, the two countries making concessions to each other - China is allowed land north of Beijing and Russia is granted greater influence in the collapsing Central Asian states. However, China continues to assert its claims to Mongolia, claiming to be staving off government collapse. Sea level rise has reached 30 centimetres, triggering the first in a wave of evacuations from Bangladesh. Much of the Southern USA, Central Asia, Northern and Central Africa and Southern Europe are suffering from rapid desertification. Cities such as London and New York are threatened by flooding before the development of huge, self-sustaining sea-concrete walls. The area around the Sahara desert and the Middle East are now among the only places in the world within which international war is common – the breakdown of government caused by climate change leads to the infighting.

As the world’s economy recovers from the conflicts in the 2030s and 2040s, the news is dominated by largely uncontrolled mass immigration out of Africa and Central Asia. Although the effects of climate change will continue to worsen, by the 2050s the majority of the world’s energy comes from renewables, with large carbon capture projects underway and huge solar farms set up in the abandoned equatorial regions. Sea level rise has reached 1 meter and is beginning to slow; richer countries such as the UK, Denmark, the USA and China construct sea walls to secure their large cities, whilst poorer nations have no choice but to move inland. The melting of the Arctic has opened up opportunities for trade between the NEU, Canada and Russia. In an attempt to slow migration into Europe, the NEU direct huge amounts of funding at the North African countries. Commercial Nuclear fusion is perfected in the NEU and quickly spreads. The world’s first Turing-compliant AI is produced by a combination of South Korean and Japanese scientists, and 3D printing technology, which has been growing in precision since the 2020’s, becomes commonplace in the developed world. In a shock move, the UN passes a resolution to form a permanent peacekeeping army with contributions from its richest member nations. The UNPCF begins it’s ‘War on War’, a policy of occupying and pacifying the Middle Eastern and African nations where violence has started up again.

The UNPCF is invested with greater powers to deal with the refugee crisis - it sets up 'visionary' Freestates (basically welfare blocs/population dumps) in Greenland and Western Antarctica and coordinates the flow, forcing northern states such as Canada, the NEU and Russia to accept huge numbers of refugees in return for economic support. China and the USA are no longer leaders of a bipolar world, as they have to divert much of their resources towards conservation projects within their own borders whilst the aforementioned northern states grow increasingly influential. North Korea collapses after years of extreme weather, turmoil, military coups and civil war - South Korea, now just Korea, takes over under the supervision of international observers. The standard of life in former North Korea improves rapidly. Over the course of the mid-2060s, China enters a transition to democracy. AIs, generally recognized to be Turing-compliant, are now commonplace in the developed world. Sea-concrete based construction materials are used to create large offshore ‘floating cities’, particularly common in the Pacific. Both Quebec and Greenland gain independence in this decade thanks to their booming economies.

The European Republic is formed as the NEU starts allowing southern and eastern European states to join, on the condition that they are stable. This results in the formation of a number of confederations, particularly in Iberia, the Baltic and the Balkans. Increasingly, countries follow the European example, uniting to form the African Union and the Sub-Continental Federation, or economic blocs such as those found in South America and the Pacific. The first space elevator is completed in the final years of this decade - built on the northern coast of Brazil near to the old location of ESAs spaceport in Guiana. This follows a manned mission to the Jovian moons, and the establishment of a permanent series of Earth-Mars transit spacecraft based on VASMIR and fusion drives. Mexico becomes a semi-autonomous 51st state of the USA.

This decade sees the final collapse of many central African countries, leading to a renewed surge in refugee numbers. Fortunately the world has adapted and with the help of UNPCF, is able to deal with them fairly efficiently, moving them into entirely new cities that have sprung up in Western Antarctica, Northern Europe, Russia, Canada, New Zealand and Southern Argentina and Chile. Within such nations, personal enhancement and longevity treatments extend life expectancy and has begun to cure many diseases, most notably all the common forms of cancer. After heavy international pressure the WTO and other organizations alter trade laws to favour developing countries; this permits an influx of clean technology and personal enhancement which prevents absolute poverty from increasing in collapsing nations despite the effects of climate change. With the massive reduction in the costs of getting material to orbit small but nonetheless permanent colonies on the Moon and Mars are also established in this decade.

Many countries are now fully adapted to climate change, thanks to efficient refugee processing centres, new infrastructure projects and advances in technology. Despite this, large sections of Africa, Central Asia and the Southern USA are rendered uninhabitable. The world is now fairly evenly divided into large socio-economic blocs and appears to be entering the 22nd century a far more stable place. The second orbital elevator is completed, this time in Indonesia. Non-intrusive augmented reality technologies, such as virtual contact lenses, are now being replaced with direct-to-brain entoptic projection. AIs now exist which are thousands of times more intelligent than humans, and serve many important functions in the global economy. Sea level rise reaches 2 meters.

The world’s third orbital elevator is completed in West Africa, as is the first kilometer scale space station. Earth's orbital infrastructure is expanding rapidly as the cost of transporting materials to orbit declines. The Moon and several asteroids are being mined extensively for materials to fuel expansion into space. The population of the Earth has reached 10 billion, as growth begins to level off on Earth, but a steady increase can be seen in all other areas of the solar system. During this decade, the number of people living in absolute poverty begins to decrease from around 900 million, which has been fairly constant throughout the century as rising standards of living clash with climate change. The last interstate war is fought between two collapsed sub-Saharan African nations, and a coalition of the UNs peacekeeping forces quickly quells it.

I am aware this doesn't explain everything, but I will try and answer any questions. Comments welcome!
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Emerald-Sage Featured By Owner Aug 12, 2014
What about Australia?
JaggerTheDog Featured By Owner May 22, 2014  Hobbyist General Artist
It is strange how Russia has a good economy even though the fertility rate is decreasing? Economic collapse?
SamSquared Featured By Owner May 22, 2014  Student
As it says in the title (Outdated) and in several comments below, this is based off something I did as a fourteen year old on a complete whim. There is an updated map/scenario pending which I can notify you about when I upload if you're interested. :) That said, there are sound reasons to believe that Russia (or an analogous state) would have a strong economy in the late 21st century given the starting premises. Indeed, if Russia's government wasn't so awful and corrupt it would probably have a much stronger economy even now - the population is still fairly large, it has lots of technology/infrastructure/influence left over from the Soviet era and masses of unexploited resources. I don't believe the current Russian government will survive long in a world where nearly all the world's countries are democracies and so I expect it will come under effective, properly democratic government before mid-century. Many European countries currently have low fertility rates but make up for this with high levels of immigration from more impoverished areas. As Russia is likely to benefit hugely from climate change (supplying much of the world's food and fresh water) people will move there from negatively effected regions. The Russian Far East for example will probably end up with a very considerable Chinese population. With such huge population influxes and booms in formerly desolate, underdeveloped places like Siberia, I believe there is potential that independence movements will gain traction and Russia as it currently exists will fragment into a number of smaller states (the scenario I'm developing in my updated timeline) but due to historic cultural ties and economic interdependence they may still form a loose federation. Hope this helps?
Keydan Featured By Owner Mar 25, 2014
Strange that Russia has no hold over at least Belarus.
SamSquared Featured By Owner Mar 26, 2014  Student
Yeah this really out of date - it was based on a map I made when I was fourteen so don't expect too much of it :)
I have recently completed a much more up to date version. Once I've completed the description and timeline I'll upload it. I can let you know when I do if you're interested?
Keydan Featured By Owner Mar 26, 2014
SamSquared Featured By Owner Sep 13, 2014  Student
Just thought I'd let you know that the first two maps of the revised future timeline have been posted :) (Smile)
jrlc66 Featured By Owner Feb 19, 2014
the ocean floor droping 3000 feet to 6000 feet volume 5 gallon water 37.405 LP 9 trig water get volume 
SamSquared Featured By Owner Feb 19, 2014  Student
I'm sorry, you're gonna have to explain... :)

quantumflux3-14 Featured By Owner Feb 11, 2014
I think this is a wonderful map, beautifully explaining a realistic and perhaps even likely future. Just one question, at what point would an advanced society portrayed in this picture coalesce into a single world state? Also, at what point in this timeline does humanity become a spacefaring, interstellar civilisation (leaving the heliosphere)?
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