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Outdated Future Earth 2150 by SamSquared Outdated Future Earth 2150 by SamSquared
Based on culminated predictions on how the world may look in 2150, with a population of 10 billion, sea level rise of 2m, temperature rise on average of 2 degrees Celsius. I admit the border changes are somewhat radical but had to make it interesting!

There is now an Updated Version!
Part of the early history of my science fiction universe See more of my work here!

2010s
Revolutions continue in the Middle East and North Africa. Slowly the world climbs out of recession and the global economy begins to grow once again. Severe weather events occur more often.

2020s
In the late 2020s another particularly severe economic downturn causes the EU to reform as the highly integrated NEU, including just France, Germany, Belgium, the Netherlands, Denmark, Norway, Sweden, Iceland and Finland. The UK is offered membership but declines, becoming increasingly self-sufficient. The Southern European states try to form a Mediterranean economic community in retaliation but it is fragile by comparison and never achieves a great degree of integration. For half the years of 2020 no international wars are fought, and the rate of death in war declines slightly from its all-time low in the 2010s.

2030s
Much of the Middle East's oil is exhausted - Russia experiences a rapid period of economic growth as the major provider of fossil fuels (as do other alternative countries such as Canada, Nigeria and Venezuela) expanding into the melting arctic and, increasingly, food as global warming opens up vast tracts of arable land in Siberia - in the most of the rest of the world it is drying up. As the world’s interest in the Middle East diminishes the region fades back into insignificance and destabilizes. Many countries in Northern and Central Africa destabilise, becoming failed states as a side effect of global warming. This is counterbalanced by the ground-hugging death rates in war everywhere else despite unpopular US led interventions in Nigeria, Venezuela and Colombia. A combined effort from numerous countries including China, Russia, India, Brazil, the NEU and the USA sends a manned mission to Mars using a VASMIR driven spacecraft.

2040s
Competition between the rising power of Russia and the new economic superpower of China results in the brief Sino-Russian War, one small tactical nuclear device is detonated at a military base on the Tibetan Plateau, another several kilometres outside Ulaan Bator during the Chinese occupation, but the war fizzles out after 4 years as the UN is able to mediate a truce, the two countries making concessions to each other - China is allowed land north of Beijing and Russia is granted greater influence in the collapsing Central Asian states. However, China continues to assert its claims to Mongolia, claiming to be staving off government collapse. Sea level rise has reached 30 centimetres, triggering the first in a wave of evacuations from Bangladesh. Much of the Southern USA, Central Asia, Northern and Central Africa and Southern Europe are suffering from rapid desertification. Cities such as London and New York are threatened by flooding before the development of huge, self-sustaining sea-concrete walls. The area around the Sahara desert and the Middle East are now among the only places in the world within which international war is common – the breakdown of government caused by climate change leads to the infighting.

2050s
As the world’s economy recovers from the conflicts in the 2030s and 2040s, the news is dominated by largely uncontrolled mass immigration out of Africa and Central Asia. Although the effects of climate change will continue to worsen, by the 2050s the majority of the world’s energy comes from renewables, with large carbon capture projects underway and huge solar farms set up in the abandoned equatorial regions. Sea level rise has reached 1 meter and is beginning to slow; richer countries such as the UK, Denmark, the USA and China construct sea walls to secure their large cities, whilst poorer nations have no choice but to move inland. The melting of the Arctic has opened up opportunities for trade between the NEU, Canada and Russia. In an attempt to slow migration into Europe, the NEU direct huge amounts of funding at the North African countries. Commercial Nuclear fusion is perfected in the NEU and quickly spreads. The world’s first Turing-compliant AI is produced by a combination of South Korean and Japanese scientists, and 3D printing technology, which has been growing in precision since the 2020’s, becomes commonplace in the developed world. In a shock move, the UN passes a resolution to form a permanent peacekeeping army with contributions from its richest member nations. The UNPCF begins it’s ‘War on War’, a policy of occupying and pacifying the Middle Eastern and African nations where violence has started up again.

2060s
The UNPCF is invested with greater powers to deal with the refugee crisis - it sets up 'visionary' Freestates (basically welfare blocs/population dumps) in Greenland and Western Antarctica and coordinates the flow, forcing northern states such as Canada, the NEU and Russia to accept huge numbers of refugees in return for economic support. China and the USA are no longer leaders of a bipolar world, as they have to divert much of their resources towards conservation projects within their own borders whilst the aforementioned northern states grow increasingly influential. North Korea collapses after years of extreme weather, turmoil, military coups and civil war - South Korea, now just Korea, takes over under the supervision of international observers. The standard of life in former North Korea improves rapidly. Over the course of the mid-2060s, China enters a transition to democracy. AIs, generally recognized to be Turing-compliant, are now commonplace in the developed world. Sea-concrete based construction materials are used to create large offshore ‘floating cities’, particularly common in the Pacific. Both Quebec and Greenland gain independence in this decade thanks to their booming economies.

2070s
The European Republic is formed as the NEU starts allowing southern and eastern European states to join, on the condition that they are stable. This results in the formation of a number of confederations, particularly in Iberia, the Baltic and the Balkans. Increasingly, countries follow the European example, uniting to form the African Union and the Sub-Continental Federation, or economic blocs such as those found in South America and the Pacific. The first space elevator is completed in the final years of this decade - built on the northern coast of Brazil near to the old location of ESAs spaceport in Guiana. This follows a manned mission to the Jovian moons, and the establishment of a permanent series of Earth-Mars transit spacecraft based on VASMIR and fusion drives. Mexico becomes a semi-autonomous 51st state of the USA.

2080s
This decade sees the final collapse of many central African countries, leading to a renewed surge in refugee numbers. Fortunately the world has adapted and with the help of UNPCF, is able to deal with them fairly efficiently, moving them into entirely new cities that have sprung up in Western Antarctica, Northern Europe, Russia, Canada, New Zealand and Southern Argentina and Chile. Within such nations, personal enhancement and longevity treatments extend life expectancy and has begun to cure many diseases, most notably all the common forms of cancer. After heavy international pressure the WTO and other organizations alter trade laws to favour developing countries; this permits an influx of clean technology and personal enhancement which prevents absolute poverty from increasing in collapsing nations despite the effects of climate change. With the massive reduction in the costs of getting material to orbit small but nonetheless permanent colonies on the Moon and Mars are also established in this decade.

2090s
Many countries are now fully adapted to climate change, thanks to efficient refugee processing centres, new infrastructure projects and advances in technology. Despite this, large sections of Africa, Central Asia and the Southern USA are rendered uninhabitable. The world is now fairly evenly divided into large socio-economic blocs and appears to be entering the 22nd century a far more stable place. The second orbital elevator is completed, this time in Indonesia. Non-intrusive augmented reality technologies, such as virtual contact lenses, are now being replaced with direct-to-brain entoptic projection. AIs now exist which are thousands of times more intelligent than humans, and serve many important functions in the global economy. Sea level rise reaches 2 meters.

2100s
The world’s third orbital elevator is completed in West Africa, as is the first kilometer scale space station. Earth's orbital infrastructure is expanding rapidly as the cost of transporting materials to orbit declines. The Moon and several asteroids are being mined extensively for materials to fuel expansion into space. The population of the Earth has reached 10 billion, as growth begins to level off on Earth, but a steady increase can be seen in all other areas of the solar system. During this decade, the number of people living in absolute poverty begins to decrease from around 900 million, which has been fairly constant throughout the century as rising standards of living clash with climate change. The last interstate war is fought between two collapsed sub-Saharan African nations, and a coalition of the UNs peacekeeping forces quickly quells it.

I am aware this doesn't explain everything, but I will try and answer any questions. Comments welcome!
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:icongrisador:
grisador Featured By Owner 6 days ago
Seems Really logical ! :D

But What is UN Middle Eastern ?
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:iconemerald-sage:
Emerald-Sage Featured By Owner Aug 12, 2014
What about Australia?
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:iconjaggerthedog:
JaggerTheDog Featured By Owner May 22, 2014  Hobbyist General Artist
It is strange how Russia has a good economy even though the fertility rate is decreasing? Economic collapse?
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:iconsamsquared:
SamSquared Featured By Owner May 22, 2014  Student
As it says in the title (Outdated) and in several comments below, this is based off something I did as a fourteen year old on a complete whim. There is an updated map/scenario pending which I can notify you about when I upload if you're interested. :) That said, there are sound reasons to believe that Russia (or an analogous state) would have a strong economy in the late 21st century given the starting premises. Indeed, if Russia's government wasn't so awful and corrupt it would probably have a much stronger economy even now - the population is still fairly large, it has lots of technology/infrastructure/influence left over from the Soviet era and masses of unexploited resources. I don't believe the current Russian government will survive long in a world where nearly all the world's countries are democracies and so I expect it will come under effective, properly democratic government before mid-century. Many European countries currently have low fertility rates but make up for this with high levels of immigration from more impoverished areas. As Russia is likely to benefit hugely from climate change (supplying much of the world's food and fresh water) people will move there from negatively effected regions. The Russian Far East for example will probably end up with a very considerable Chinese population. With such huge population influxes and booms in formerly desolate, underdeveloped places like Siberia, I believe there is potential that independence movements will gain traction and Russia as it currently exists will fragment into a number of smaller states (the scenario I'm developing in my updated timeline) but due to historic cultural ties and economic interdependence they may still form a loose federation. Hope this helps?
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:iconkeydan:
Keydan Featured By Owner Mar 25, 2014
Strange that Russia has no hold over at least Belarus.
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:iconsamsquared:
SamSquared Featured By Owner Mar 26, 2014  Student
Yeah this really out of date - it was based on a map I made when I was fourteen so don't expect too much of it :)
I have recently completed a much more up to date version. Once I've completed the description and timeline I'll upload it. I can let you know when I do if you're interested?
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:iconkeydan:
Keydan Featured By Owner Mar 26, 2014
Sure.
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:iconsamsquared:
SamSquared Featured By Owner Sep 13, 2014  Student
Just thought I'd let you know that the first two maps of the revised future timeline have been posted :) (Smile)
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:iconjrlc66:
jrlc66 Featured By Owner Feb 19, 2014
the ocean floor droping 3000 feet to 6000 feet volume 5 gallon water 37.405 LP 9 trig water get volume 
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:iconsamsquared:
SamSquared Featured By Owner Feb 19, 2014  Student
I'm sorry, you're gonna have to explain... :)

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:iconquantumflux3-14:
quantumflux3-14 Featured By Owner Feb 11, 2014
I think this is a wonderful map, beautifully explaining a realistic and perhaps even likely future. Just one question, at what point would an advanced society portrayed in this picture coalesce into a single world state? Also, at what point in this timeline does humanity become a spacefaring, interstellar civilisation (leaving the heliosphere)?
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:iconsamsquared:
SamSquared Featured By Owner Feb 11, 2014  Student
Thanks for the comment :) It's funny, at the time I thought this was a realistic-ish prediction (I made the map and the timeline about four years ago - 14 at the time!) but I've since revised and tweaked various bits and added a great deal of detail to the timeline and the nature of the states - I'd be happy to upload it and let you know if you're interested. I don't think there will ever be a single world state, nor do I believe it to be desirable. To me it seems much more likely that the concept of a traditional nation-state will cease to matter long before such a world is possible. That said I do believe cooperation and interdependence between states will continue to grow - bodies such as the UN, World Health/Trade Organisation or the EU will have greater participation and greater power, and this to me is a good thing. My overarching timeline for space goes something like this: 2020s - China goes to the moon, growing number of orbital facilities/asteroid mining, 2030s - manned science outpost on Mars, 2040s construction begins on the first large scale orbital infrastructure (something along the lines of the habitat in Elysium), 2060s - Moon has notable population for helium-3 mining, 2070s - first orbital elevator, space-based economy booms, 2090s - off-world colonies on Mars, Europa etc, 2120s - first 'true' off-world societies, 2170s - first manned interstellar missions. Of course this is all highly contingent and may prove to overly conservative or wildly optimistic (which seems more likely), but in a purely hard sci-fi timeline it will be a long time before we could be considered a truly interstellar civilisation - even the missions I posit in the latter half of the 22nd century will be one-way affairs. Hope this is informative!
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:iconquantumflux3-14:
quantumflux3-14 Featured By Owner May 20, 2014
wow! thanks for the reply, I would be very interested in seeing your updated version.
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:iconsamsquared:
SamSquared Featured By Owner Sep 13, 2014  Student
Just thought I'd let you know that the first two maps of the revised future timeline have been posted :) (Smile)
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:iconfrazamm:
frazamm Featured By Owner Aug 18, 2013
New oil discoveries will make the US self-sufficient and a major exporter by 2020, so I think you might want to take account of that.

Also, how would the Sino-Russian war last four years? If both consider it a low intensity conflict it can last as long but then why escalate to use of nuclear weapons? If it develops into a conventional war it is unlikely that given available supplies both states would not pursue a form of ceasefire within a few months of fighting at most.

Modern war uses a lot of ammunition. In 2006 the Israelis almost ran out of bombs, and analysis of the Gulf War and the 2003 Iraq War evidenced higher ammunition consumption than originally predicted. It would take time to build up production when it takes a longer time now to build tanks and aircraft.
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:iconsamsquared:
SamSquared Featured By Owner Aug 18, 2013  Student
This is an out of date version, around a year old. I have uploaded a revised timeline that can be found here - Updated Version

I did in fact take your first point into account having read an article on the possible effects here.

There are a few points to consider. Firstly, the majority of new oil discoveries are shale/tar sands based - they are only economical to extract when the price of oil (or gas) is high as it currently is. Indeed, in the long term this will only worsen. One must also take into account that the energy market is global and supply/demand orientated. Therefore, if production suddenly drops in the Middle East, the US will still experience a resultant surge in prices. It therefore seemed to me that the main effects are going to be geopolitical rather than radical economic changes. In the revised timeline the result is a much improved energy security situation in the US, which being self-sufficient is able to largely abandon the Middle East (China steps in). It also means that other major suppliers turn elsewhere - being one of the factors for the eventual formation of the Confederacion Panamericana, sourcing oil from Mexico and Venezuela. However, the effects are not entirely positive - it is one of the factors attributed to the US's increasing isolationism, and is also responsible for retarding the local development and implementation of renewable and increasingly cheap energy sources that places like Europe have been forced to develop.

As to your point about the Sino-Russian War (far-fetched, I know, I may remove it in future editions) I hope the description in the updated version helps. If not, feel free to ask :) ...but post the comment there - I'm more likely to see it.
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:iconmaragrizx:
MaragrizX Featured By Owner Jul 25, 2013
Unless I completly missed it, but when did the US take Mexico and when did Alaska become a part of Canada?
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:iconsamsquared:
SamSquared Featured By Owner Jul 25, 2013  Student
Just check the Updated Version
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:iconmaragrizx:
MaragrizX Featured By Owner Jul 25, 2013
Ah, I see. The US basicly returned to its roots (more or less)
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:iconmistasilentkiller:
MistaSilentKiller Featured By Owner Jul 18, 2013  Hobbyist Traditional Artist
Interesting timeline :)
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:iconwolfman451:
wolfman451 Featured By Owner May 25, 2013
Fascinating stuff, I bought most of it. But how does Mexico become part of the U.S. peacefully?
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:iconsamsquared:
SamSquared Featured By Owner Jun 28, 2013  Student
There is an updated version in development, hopefully it should explain things a bit better - I look at each super-power in much greater detail.
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:iconsamsquared:
SamSquared Featured By Owner Jun 28, 2013  Student
Sorry! Missed your comment! The idea is that the USA undergoes huge socio-political shifts in the mid-21st century and evolves to become the NAF (North American Federation) which is much more decentralised indeed verging on libertarianism in certain places. Mexico's population grows far quicker than the USA's (naturally) and as the climate worsens there is further immigration pressure in the South. Rather than allowing the pressure to build to boiling point the two states realise they can both benefit by working together and initially form a loose agreement, becoming more integrated as the decades pass. By the end, California and the North-Eastern States are almost as independent as Mexico and the Americano dialect (a fusion of Spanish and English) is common in places such as Texas, Arizona etc.
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:iconsaint-tepes:
Saint-Tepes Featured By Owner Feb 17, 2013  Hobbyist Artist
Where can I get a map this big?
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:iconsamsquared:
SamSquared Featured By Owner Mar 3, 2013  Student
Just found it on the internet. Sorry I took so long to reply! Should be bringing out an update sometime in the next fortnight :)
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:iconsaint-tepes:
Saint-Tepes Featured By Owner Mar 4, 2013  Hobbyist Artist
ok
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:iconcodcrysiswarfare:
CODCrysisWarfare Featured By Owner Dec 3, 2012
Do you know where I can make that map somewhere online?....unless you photoshop it.
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:iconsamsquared:
SamSquared Featured By Owner Dec 5, 2012  Student
I just used a blank world map then edited it in good old fashioned Paint!
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:icongrisador:
grisador Featured By Owner Nov 7, 2012
An awesome future ! but I think there was a 3rd world war at 2045
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:iconsamsquared:
SamSquared Featured By Owner Nov 8, 2012  Student
Thanks! I did think about having it escalate into another World War but there has never been a war between two truly democratic countries - people don't like them, unsurprisingly. By the 2040s most countries are democratic so it had to be fought between two non-democratic yet powerful countries and really only China and Russia fitted that description. Although each may have had a couple of supporters it seemed unlikely to escalate. Nonetheless, it would've still been of a similar scale to the Vietnam War, making it an anomaly in the general decline in violence around the world.
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:icongrisador:
grisador Featured By Owner Feb 9, 2015
Well at least its more 'peaceful' than normal World Wars...

By the Way What is UN Freestate?

Does it about Fresh Water Sources of The Earth?
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:iconkajm:
Kajm Featured By Owner Oct 28, 2012  Hobbyist Writer
A number of recent peer-reviewed papers point to weather extremes becoming Less, if the world continues to warm. Current predicitions for sea-level rise are about 6-9 inches by the end of the century, which is the bottom of the IPCC's prediction range.
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:iconsamsquared:
SamSquared Featured By Owner Oct 29, 2012  Student
That's interesting to know. The predictions seem to range all over the place in terms of sea level and temperature rise and how such changes in atmospheric CO2 and temperatures etc. will effect current weather patterns - the climate is fairly complex after all. I've read that with increased CO2 levels for example, hurricanes are less frequent but more powerful. But of course, if the world's climate enters a hothouse state then certainly climate extremes will be reduced. I have realised that I failed to make it clear that sea level rise and temperature rise in this future are expected to reach 2m and 2 degrees Celsius respectively - oops - rather than having reached these figures by 2150. They do of course remain fairly negative estimates, as I wanted to show the world dealing with extreme climate change.
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:iconabashi76:
Abashi76 Featured By Owner Mar 4, 2013
so this part of 22nd century isn't so bad right? looks interesting; i was just afraid that 22nd century is a conservative century right? but probably not more conservative than ...?
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:iconsamsquared:
SamSquared Featured By Owner Mar 27, 2013  Student
Sorry I took so long to reply - haven't been on for ages! What do you mean by conservative - in terms of climate estimates or society?...If you found this interesting I am in the middle of an updated version with more detail on what the states are actually like and a physical map with borders drawn on rather than just blocks of colour :)
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:iconxyz-dbz:
xyz-dbz Featured By Owner Oct 26, 2012
do you have it in higher resolution ??
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:iconsamsquared:
SamSquared Featured By Owner Oct 26, 2012  Student
No sorry - it went slightly blurry when I uploaded and re-uploading didn't seem to make a difference. Largest is 4151x2234 anyway.
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:iconanatarakentara:
AnataraKentara Featured By Owner Jan 20, 2013  Hobbyist Traditional Artist
You're using a JPG format. Switch to PNG, it'll be crisp.
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:iconxyz-dbz:
xyz-dbz Featured By Owner Oct 26, 2012
can you do another one(with that cool font)like what-if scenario where soviet union survives through 90-ties ? continuation of cold war
[link]
here is a larger map
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:iconsamsquared:
SamSquared Featured By Owner Oct 27, 2012  Student
Thanks for the larger map. I'll see if I can do a less blurry one of these and I'll give the USSR one a go. I think the font is called Neuropol :)
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:iconxyz-dbz:
xyz-dbz Featured By Owner Oct 28, 2012
added you to my watch
dont need to hurry, like it when all spots are filled with color to know whoes territory it is
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:iconxyz-dbz:
xyz-dbz Featured By Owner Oct 26, 2012
its so blurry what is happening to dA ??
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:iconvladstronsy:
vladstronsy Featured By Owner Oct 25, 2012  Student Digital Artist
If Quebec gets it's independence then all types of hell will break lose. Have you listened to some of the people in the Parti Quebecois?
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:iconsamsquared:
SamSquared Featured By Owner Oct 26, 2012  Student
Yeah, and it is typical of secessionist movements to attract extremists. However, by the late 2060s when the split happens it is with the permission of Canada which is undergoing a massive economic boom, as is Quebec, thanks to global warming driving people north - wealthy middle classes rarely cause many problems as they have too much to lose, and problems with refugees dominate as they massively outnumber the few extremists. I'm sure a few problems would arise, but the greatly more powerful UNPCF of the time would have little problem dealing with them. The Quebecois Independence Party (a coalition of the Bloc and Parti Quebecois) is still fairly left-wing but is dominated by moderates.
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:iconvladstronsy:
vladstronsy Featured By Owner Oct 27, 2012  Student Digital Artist
Lets hope so.
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:iconsamsquared:
SamSquared Featured By Owner Oct 28, 2012  Student
Indeed. This future is on the pessimistic side of realism in terms of environmental impact (I can't see the world uniting enough to deal with climate change effectively), but I am hopeful that violence will continue its decline after having read The Better Angels of our Nature, a book about the decline of violence through history.
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